Sunday, May 06, 2007 - Posts

White Sox pitching landscape

Level Team Record Place
AAA Charlotte 10-18 4th
AA Birmingham 15-14 3rd
A+ Winston-Salem 14-13 2nd
A Kannapolis 11-18 6th
The minor league seasons turned a month old yesterday, and unfortunately the story lines don't exactly complement the Sox's current situation -- the pitchers are lights-out but there's nowhere to put them, while there don't appear to be any hitters who are ready for the big leagues.

The obvious next step is to convert some of that pitching into some htiting, but aside from Gio Gonzalez, it's hard to find one pitcher who 1) could definitely crack the Sox's rotation within a year or two, and 2) other teams would drool over.  As of now, the bulk of them are in an organizational purgatory of sorts.

Here's my stab at breaking up the logjam.  Feel free to add to this evaluation or contest it, because I'm far from a minor-league expert:

CHICAGO WHITE SOX
  1. Mark Buehrle: Free agent after '07.  Maybe you've heard.
  2. Jon Garland: Free agent after '08.
  3. Jose Contreras: Free agent after '09.
  4. Javier Vazquez: Free agent after '10.
  5. John Danks: Not arbitration-eligible until '10.
Barring injury or a Danks decline, the Sox may not have an opening for a couple years unless Buehrle leaves.  I'd wager on Buehrle leaving, myself, but while Kenny Williams isn't a sentimental fool, the legacy the lefty is building in Chicago is difficult to ignore.  I can see Reinsdorf going beyond the three-year limit for a homegrown product.

Contreras would be the one I'd most like to move, but other teams have noticed how wobbly he looks, too.  So he's probably staying put.

CHARLOTTE KNIGHTS

1. Gavin Floyd 1-2, 3.94 ERA, 29 IP, 33 H, 4 HR, 12 BB, 26 K
The Sox seem more comfortable with Floyd than any other team would.  Little trade value, and he's the first guy the Sox will call up if they need a starter.  It works for all parties involved.

2. Heath Phillips.  3-2, 3.58 ERA, 37.2 IP, 36 H, 5 HR, 15 BB, 27 K
Phillips managed a sub-3.00 ERA at Charlotte last year by lowering his hit rate to less than one per inning, and he's limiting base hits once again this year.  The portly portsider is often described as a poor man's Buehrle (including his ability to hold runners, best I can tell), but nobody thinks much of him.  You'd think he could vie for a starting job with a team like the Nationals, though.

3. Charlie Haeger.  0-5, 5.61 ERA, 33.2 IP, 36 H, 5 HR, 26 BB, 27 K
Evidently, it wasn't all the Arizona air hurting him.  Haeger's still incredibly young for a knuckleballer, so there's no reason to give up on him.  At the same time, I can't imagine teams are knocking on Kenny Williams' door.

4. Lance Broadway.  0-1, 3.04 ERA, 23.2 IP, 22 H, 1 HR, 9 BB, 13 K
The peripherals aren't all that exciting, but neither are Jon Garland's.  And considering Broadway is developing a two-seam fastball, evidently he knows who he should be emulating.  He's a former first-round pick who, unlike Floyd, has actually posted quality ERAs at every level even without jaw-dropping stuff.  He could draw interest, but I'd guess teams would want to see him get big-league hitters out with grounders, first.

BIRMINGHAM BARONS

1. Gio Gonzalez. 4-2, 3.98 ERA, 31.2 IP, 26 H, 4 HR, 12 BB, 47 K
Untouchable.

2. Jack Egbert.  3-2, 1.46 ERA, 37 IP, 21 H, 0 HR, 5 BB, 35 K
This season's biggest surprise so far, Egbert was sneaky-good at Winston-Salem last year (2.94 ERA, two homers in 140 IP), too.  If that line isn't unreal enough, his GB/FB ratio is 2.35, so it isn't Birmingham's big park supressing his numbers.  His name doesn't have the cachet yet, but it will if he keeps this up. 

3. Adam Russell.  3-1, 1.85 ERA, 34 IP, 28 H, 0 HR, 12 BB, 29 K
Big-league stuff, and his command is catching up.  His size (6'8") and fastball (95-96) give him an edge over all the other righties in the system.  We found out this spring that the Sox sure like him, and I think other teams would go for him, too.

4. Wes Whisler. 0-3, 2.48 ERA, 29 IP, 29 H, 1 HR, 9 BB, 14 K
He's only a few years removed from being a position player, so the kid has a lot to learn still.

WINSTON-SALEM WARTHOGS

1. Kyle McCulloch.  2-2, 4.08 ERA, 28.2 IP, 35 H, 1 HR, 14 BB, 19 K
McCulloch makes me nervous, if only because Kenny Williams acquired a ton of pitchers and changed draft directors after Duane Shaffer's crew selected McCulloch in the first round last year.  That doesn't inspire much confidence.  Otherwise, he's pretty much a Broadway clone, and Broadway didn't light High-A ball on fire, either.

2. Justin Cassell.  4-1, 2.03 ERA, 31 IP, 23 H, 1 HR, 10 BB, 24 K
What Egbert is to Double-A, Cassell is to Winston-Salem.  He's getting four groundouts for every flyout.  This is the first year we've heard about him, so I can't say I have any idea about his future.

3. Clayton Richard.  1-1, 2.97 ERA, 33.1 IP, 23 H, 2 HR, 9 BB, 20 K
He's a big lefty, he gets a lot of grounders and he's 23.  That's all I can tell you.

PFP to perfection

With Kenny Rogers on the shelf for the first half of the season, Jon Garland could have an opening for a Gold Glove run.

Rogers won his third straight Gold Glove last year, but Garland put together an impressive resume of his own, which I detailed in his season preview

He's maintained that level into 2007, and provided a few more examples during today's game.  Garland made a beautiful play on a solid Chone Figgins bunt, and showed the rest of the staff how to turn a 1-6-3 double play.  Over the past week or so, we've seen Andy Sisco spike a throw and Jose Contreras throw wide of second in the exact same scenario.

Granted, I'd still put his odds at 20:1 if only because Gold Glove voting is a complete mystery, and half a season is often enough to win them.  In a year where Aaron Rowand put on a one-man show in center night after night during a championship run, Torii Hunter came away with the trophy despite not playing a single game after July 29.

Even though the Sox won the friggin' World Series, that injustice still steams my hams.

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One guy who has benefited
from Paul Konerko and Joe Crede's early struggles is Jermaine Dye, who struck out three times and stranded four in today's game.

I've read and heard people wringing their hands over Paul Konerko's strikeouts, but Dye has K'd 27 times in 106 plate appearances; Konerko 26 in 116.  Dye does lead the team in homers, so he has something going for him, but he's still a significant contributor to a flaccid 3-4-5.

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Fortunately, all the Sox' problems could be solved by the end of May.

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Minor league round-up:
  • Norfolk 3, Charlotte 2
    • Brian Anderson and Wiki Gonzalez had two hits apiece (Anderson had a double), as well as the Knights' only two RBI.
    • Carlos Vazquez, just promoted from Birmingham, threw three hitless, scoreless innings of relief, with a walk the only blemish.  Jason Childers (first appearance, he's 32) and Bret Prinz combined for three scoreless innings.
  • Tennessee 1, Birmingham 0
    • Pitching wasn't the problem -- Jack Egbert took the loss with this line: 6 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 3 K.  Better yet, he induced 15 groundouts to zero flyouts.
    • Dewon Day's misfortune on balls in play may be righting itself -- 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 5 K.  He also didn't allow a flyout.
    • Jason Bourgeois, Ricardo Nanita and Michael Myers had the only hits for the Barons.
  • Winston-Salem 8, Frederick 4
    • Matt Zaleski and John Lujan combined for five scoreless innings in relief of an ineffective Derek Rodriguez.
    • Every starting Warthog had a hit except shortstop C.J. Lang; slumping David Cook went 1-for-3 with two RBI; Tyler Reves homered and added three RBI.
    • Aaron Cunningham went 1-for-4 with a double, a walk and stolen base No. 10.
  • Asheville 6, Kannapolis 4
    • Kanny had a split start thing going on -- Jose Zazueta pitched the first four, and Faustino De Los Santos pitched the last four.  Zazueta struck out eight and allowed two runs in half; De Los Santos struggled, allowing the other four runs and tripling his season total of runs allowed in the process.
    • Francisco Hernandez Jr. had three hits and raised the average to .348, John Shelby Jr. had a pair of doubles and Brandon Allen hit a solo homer.